France threatens: Right-wing extremists could take power tonight

France's future at a crossroads: the possible consequences of a change of power

By Pascal Thibaut, Germany correspondent for Radio France Internationale

Exactly one month ago, France commemorated the 80th anniversary of the Allied landings in Normandy. This historic event marked the end of the fascist Vichy regime and the liberation from National Socialism. Since then, French presidents have campaigned against racism, exclusion and nationalism with the slogan “Never again”. However, there is a lot at stake, as France today Evening is at a turning point.

Emmanuel Macron, who was elected seven years ago on the promise of keeping the far-right led by Marine Le Pen in check, has made a risky decision: he has dissolved parliament. This decision could pave the way to power for the Rassemblement National (RN) led by Jordan Bardella, who is only 28 years old. If the RN wins the runoff, the country will face a "cohabitation" - a division of power between a weakened President Macron and a far-right government.

Historically, France has had similar power-sharing arrangements several times, in which the president retains a strong role in foreign policy, defense and European affairs, but the government dominates day-to-day business. For Macron, who is known for his political assertiveness, working with Bardella would be conflictual and challenging. Domestically, the RN would be particularly challenged in the areas of migration and security. At the European level, Ukraine's aid could be in jeopardy, as it must be approved by parliament, and Bardella could position himself against this and stand up to Macron.

To prevent a possible change of power, many third-place candidates from other parties have withdrawn. This strategic decision is intended to ensure that the runoff vote will always pit an RN candidate against a Democratic candidate, thus preventing the RN from gaining an absolute majority in the National Assembly. If this tactic works, a far-right sweep can be prevented. However, if Macron successfully keeps the RN in check and stays in power until the next presidential election in 2027, his legacy could be recorded in the history books as that of the man who defeated far-right extremism.

In summary, France is at a crossroads, the outcome of which will not only affect the national politicsbut also Europe's stability. It remains to be seen whether Macron will win his risky bet and continue to assert himself as a bulwark against right-wing extremism.